I had fun in
2021,
2020 and
2019 taking a stab at a top 35 for the Stanford football team and thought I'd try again this year. The exercise is meant to predict how good players will be this fall (so upperclassmen will tend to be higher than newcomers). The basic rule of it is I'm trying to predict the top 35 players by snap count at the end of the season and rank them in terms of quality (best understood in terms of things like quality in relation to Pac-12 peers, which can be approximated by year-end PFF grades). Specialists are not ranked here. The top 35 in snaps is essentially synonymous with the non-specialists who matter in a season, those with approximately 200 snaps over the course of a 12 game season give or take a dozen snaps or so.
You can see in the earlier threads that I did quite well at this the first two years before whiffing last year. Let's see if I can bounce back:
1) Drake Nugent
2) Tanner McKee
3) Walter Rouse
4) Benjamin Yurosek
5) Branson Bragg
6) EJ Smith
7) Elijah Higgins
8) Kyu Blu Kelly
9) Mike Wilson
10) Brycen Tremayne
11) Jake Hornibrook
12) Levani Damuni
13) Barrett Miller
14) Casey Filkins
15) Kendall Williamson
16) John Humphreys
17) Patrick Fields
18) David Bailey
19) Stephen Herron
20) Nicolas Toomer
21) Jacob Mangum-Farrar
22) Jonathan McGill
23) Aaron Armitage
24) Ethan Bonner
25) Jimmy Wyrick
26) Tobin Phillips
27) Salim Turner-Muhammad
28) Lance Keneley
29) Ricky Miezan
30) Myles Hinton
31) Anthony Franklin
32) Tristan Sinclair
33) Collin Wright
34) Bradley Archer
35) Jaxson Moi
Apologies to Jaden Slocum, Aeneas DiCosmo, Bryce Farrell, Sam Roush, Connor McLaughlin, Levi Rogers, and anybody else who might earn significant playing time this season. As always and as should be obvious, there are many very subjective judgment calls in this guesswork. I could keep tinkering with the order as there are still things that don't look quite right to me (e.g., Hornibrook feels too high but I want to take seriously reports he's taken Miller's first team reps, I may be too aggressive in forecasting true freshman impact, the front seven is super tricky to rank given the scheme change, etc.) but I'd rather press post and see what you all think. I'd love to hear any debates/reactions.