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Football - 14?

This is the line Cal is favored by odds makers over Stanford. It is insane, IMO. Who are the teams Cal has beaten by more than 13 pts?

UC Davis, San Diego State, Oregon State. Cal played SDSU with its backup QB, and the Beavers were shutout by Air Force this weekend, 28-0, their second time shutout this season.

Cal should not be relied on to beat any ACC team by 2 TDs. They were favored by 9.5 over NC State and found a way to lose. They were 7pt favorites at Wake Forest and were defending a 3pt lead late in the 4th Quarter before getting a 5th turnover from WF and scoring a late TD to win by 10. They were 7.5 pt favorites to Syracuse and lost by 8.

It's almost like the public somehow takes Cal seriously after beating Auburn and losing to Miami close. Reality is all the close losses betray a not very good team, just like the Niners and Bengals in the NFL this season.

Forecast for Big Game

The forecast as of this morning calls for heavy RAIN from an atmospheric river:
0.75" on Friday
0.25" on Saturday
0.10" on Sunday

I will be there so this has personal significance to me! But in terms of football, I hope the weather doesn't prevent us from utilizing our new wrinkles in the passing game and the Ayomanor/Mosely combo.

If this becomes a Mud Bowl / Tractor Pull, it would be nice to have some healthy RBs. Thanks to an uncalled personal foul vs. Louisville that resulted in Tabb's concussion, our top three RBs are injured (at least as of now): Ford, Irvin, and Tabb. The Tabb throwdown happened right in front of me and I heard multiple whisltes 2-3 seconds before they body-slammed him - this was an egregious no-call and drove TT to yell at the refs for a good long time, which I enjoyed seeing for a change. We're only lucky that Mosely ended up converting on 4th-and-goal.

We still have Ivy League transfer fullback Ryan Butler and third-down-ish back Chris Davis Jr. Our starting safety, Mitch Leigber, who many will remember as our starting emergency RB for Big Game 2022, also went down in the second half and did not return.

Expect plenty of QB runs, even more than usual. Ashton is a tough runner. I sure hope he protects the ball...
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