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Multiyear, backweighted NIL contracts

brannerlove

Gold Member
Dec 12, 2008
44
77
18
Instead of $250k/yr, why don’t we offer incoming recruits $1m* paid out 5% each consecutive year the player is enrolled at Stanford with the remaining 75-85% paid out upon graduation.

Players get paid still, less disruption vs transferring multiple times in search of best one-year deal, and predictability that the ~half who, definitionally, underperform their recruiting profiles don’t get run off.

University gets to claim moral high ground - we’re making sense of this new chaotic system and incenting graduation. Huge PR advantage if we’re first to offer this and brand along lines of 40-year decision.

Collective gets predictability. YoY expenses will be smoother as roster sizes are relatively constant, vs dependent on if we happen to sign/retain a few stars in a given cycle.

Program gets lock-in, as at 50k/50k/50k/850k, average contract value is 250k entering, but 318k for last 3 yrs, 450k for last 2 years and 850k for last year. So if State U wants to poach a breakout player, they’re going to have to pay 125-300+% of our average rate. And they’d get to develop their players in their system over years, which should lead to better performance vs schools with more turnover. Finally, offering $1m is easily understandable and should help with recruiting vs one-year NIL schools.

Seems like a win-win for everyone. What am I missing?

*(No idea of going rates, just chose a round number.)
 
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