It's still a few weeks to early to have a good picture of the college football season, but since we have a bye and very little to talk about here's a snapshot of where things stand:
AP Poll
8. Miami
17. Notre Dame
19. Louisville
21. Clemson
27. Syracuse
30. Boston College
35. Cal
39. North Carolina
43. Pitt
Sagarin
7. Notre Dame
10. Miami
20. Clemson
21. Louisville
27. Florida State
29. TCU
38. Virginia Tech
40. SMU
41. Cal
53. Georgia Tech
55. Boston College
57. North Carolina
59. Syracuse
62. Pitt
64. NC State
75. Duke
79. Virginia
83. Stanford
84. Wake Forest
97. San Jose State
Many of us have observed how weak the ACC is and how we've found the weakest power conference, but it really brings it home to see that the Sagarin central mean currently has the Pac-12 ahead of us. We are in a worse "conference" than Washington State and Oregon State! (Lots of season still left obviously, and this is also obviously an artifact of averages, but wow)
Reiterating the caveat that it is too early to much care what Sagarin thinks, the current win probabilities according to Sagarin:
TCU - 0 percent
Cal Poly - 100 percent
@ Syracuse - 23 percent
@ Clemson - 2 percent
Virginia Tech - 33 percent
@ Notre Dame - 0 percent
SMU - 34 percent
Wake Forest - 61 percent
@ NC State - 25 percent
Louisville - 18 percent
@ Cal - 17 percent
@ San Jose State - 50 percent
Total expected wins: 3.63
Bottom line is we are in the range people thought we would be and beating Syracuse would be one of those results that can change trajectories.
AP Poll
8. Miami
17. Notre Dame
19. Louisville
21. Clemson
27. Syracuse
30. Boston College
35. Cal
39. North Carolina
43. Pitt
Sagarin
7. Notre Dame
10. Miami
20. Clemson
21. Louisville
27. Florida State
29. TCU
38. Virginia Tech
40. SMU
41. Cal
53. Georgia Tech
55. Boston College
57. North Carolina
59. Syracuse
62. Pitt
64. NC State
75. Duke
79. Virginia
83. Stanford
84. Wake Forest
97. San Jose State
Many of us have observed how weak the ACC is and how we've found the weakest power conference, but it really brings it home to see that the Sagarin central mean currently has the Pac-12 ahead of us. We are in a worse "conference" than Washington State and Oregon State! (Lots of season still left obviously, and this is also obviously an artifact of averages, but wow)
Reiterating the caveat that it is too early to much care what Sagarin thinks, the current win probabilities according to Sagarin:
TCU - 0 percent
Cal Poly - 100 percent
@ Syracuse - 23 percent
@ Clemson - 2 percent
Virginia Tech - 33 percent
@ Notre Dame - 0 percent
SMU - 34 percent
Wake Forest - 61 percent
@ NC State - 25 percent
Louisville - 18 percent
@ Cal - 17 percent
@ San Jose State - 50 percent
Total expected wins: 3.63
Bottom line is we are in the range people thought we would be and beating Syracuse would be one of those results that can change trajectories.
